Tag: election analysis

  • The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good?

    The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good?

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    by

    Michael Phillips
    in , , ,

    Political prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, provide real-time betting odds for elections, raising questions about their accuracy and legality. While they offer a unique insight into voter sentiment, research shows mixed results compared to polls. Market dynamics can skew predictions, influenced by large traders, making these figures just one of several inputs, not definitive…

  • What the 2026 Election Cycle Signals About Voter Behavior

    What the 2026 Election Cycle Signals About Voter Behavior

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    by

    Michael Phillips
    in

    As the 2026 midterm elections approach, American voter behavior reflects widespread dissatisfaction with both major parties. Dissident sentiments towards governance emphasize accountability, with economic issues dominating priorities. A motivating gap appears, particularly among Democrats, while demographic shifts highlight independence. Voters seek competent candidates, focusing on tangible results over partisan loyalty.