Tag: Polling
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Hochul’s Lead Over Blakeman Narrows to 10 Points as Siena Releases First Likely-Voter Poll of Cycle
Governor Kathy Hochul leads Republican Bruce Blakeman by 10 points in the New York governor’s race, according to a Siena poll of likely voters. Hochul has a 49% to 39% advantage, a decrease from earlier polls. The election is set for November 3, with significant regional and party divides evident.
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The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good?
Political prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, provide real-time betting odds for elections, raising questions about their accuracy and legality. While they offer a unique insight into voter sentiment, research shows mixed results compared to polls. Market dynamics can skew predictions, influenced by large traders, making these figures just one of several inputs, not definitive…
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California’s Governor Race Is Set: Becerra vs. Hilton Head to November
The California gubernatorial election for November 3, 2026, will feature Democrat Xavier Becerra against Republican Steve Hilton following a primary that saw Becerra securing 28% and Hilton 25% of votes. Polling indicates Becerra holds a significant lead. Key issues include affordability, the environment, and Trump’s influence on the race.
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Tennessee’s Republican Primary for Governor Narrows Ahead of Thursday’s Vote
Tennessee Republicans will select their gubernatorial nominee on August 6, with U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Rep. John Rose, and state Rep. Monty Fritts as major contenders. Blackburn leads in polls and fundraising, while Rose relies on personal loans. Fritts advocates limited government and has controversial proposals. The winner faces the Democratic nominee on November…
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Who’s Running for Governor of Texas in 2026?
Texas voters have nominated incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott and Democratic state Representative Gina Hinojosa for a rematch in the November 3 election. Despite Abbott’s financial advantage and polling lead, Hinojosa has garnered support among independents and moderates, making the race unexpectedly competitive in the traditionally red state.
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Ohio’s Senate Special Election: An Appointed Incumbent Faces His First Real Test
Ohio is preparing for its first U.S. Senate special election since 1954, featuring Republican Sen. Jon Husted, appointed in January 2025, facing off against former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. The race is competitive and crucial for both parties, with polls showing no clear favorite, leading to substantial campaign spending ahead of the November 3 election.
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Florida’s Open Governor’s Race: Where Things Stand Three Weeks Before the Primary
Florida is gearing up for its first open governor’s race in eight years, with Republican frontrunner Byron Donalds significantly leading the primary, backed by substantial fundraising and Trump’s endorsement. The Democratic primary has solidified around David Jolly after rival Jerry Demings withdrew. The primary is set for August 18, with the general election on November…
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