Author: Michael Phillips
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The 2028 Field Is Forming Without a Frontrunner — Here’s How the Process Actually Works
As the 2028 presidential election approaches, no major candidates have officially launched campaigns, marking the first time since 1884 that consecutive elections will occur without an incumbent. Current discussions revolve around candidate speculation and polling, with actual campaign activity expected to ramp up after the 2026 midterms.
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Wyoming Voters Decide Crowded Statewide Primaries Tuesday
Wyoming’s 2026 primary election is set for August 18, featuring races for governor, U.S. House, Senate, and other statewide offices. With Wyoming’s Republican dominance, the GOP primary is particularly critical, often decided by less than a majority. The election landscape includes open seats and various Republican candidates competing, while Democratic options are limited.
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A Dozen Down: How the 2026 Primary Season Is Reshaping Congress
During the 2026 primary season, twelve incumbent Congress members lost their party nominations, including two senators and ten House representatives, with Democrats suffering more losses than Republicans. Key factors included Trump’s endorsement influence for Republicans and a surge of leftist primary challenges for Democrats, alongside redistricting affecting several incumbents.
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What the Polls Show in Florida’s Republican Primary for Governor
U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary polls, leading by over 40 points as of August 10. With a substantial undecided voter share ranging from 17 to 31 percent, rivals Jay Collins and Paul Renner lag significantly. Meanwhile, David Jolly appears as the presumptive Democratic nominee following Jerry Demings’ campaign suspension.
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What to Know Before You Trust a Political Poll: A Maryland Case Study
A recent Maryland governor’s race poll reveals a significant early lead for one candidate. Election Desk emphasizes evaluating political surveys beyond just results, encouraging voters to consider poll sponsors, methodologies, question wording, and reporting relationships. This approach aims to empower voters with tools to interpret polling data and its context effectively.
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Hochul’s Lead Over Blakeman Narrows to 10 Points as Siena Releases First Likely-Voter Poll of Cycle
Governor Kathy Hochul leads Republican Bruce Blakeman by 10 points in the New York governor’s race, according to a Siena poll of likely voters. Hochul has a 49% to 39% advantage, a decrease from earlier polls. The election is set for November 3, with significant regional and party divides evident.
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Alabama Holds Congressional Primaries Under a Map Still Tied Up in Court
Alabama voters participated in special primaries for four congressional districts amid ongoing federal litigation over the state’s congressional map. Turnout was historically low due to confusion from rapid election timelines. The 2023 map, criticized for racial discrimination, alters Democratic representation, while the legal outcome will ultimately determine election validity.
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Primary Night: Wisconsin, Minnesota, Connecticut and South Carolina Set Fall Matchups
On August 11, 2026, primary elections in six states revealed significant ideological divides within both parties. Key results included David Crowley’s narrow victory in Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s nomination in Minnesota, and Luke Bronin’s upset over John Larson in Connecticut. South Carolina set a runoff for the Senate seat left vacant…
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Federal Judge Expands Nationwide Block on Trump Mail-Ballot Order as Supreme Court Weighs Two Requests to Lift It
A federal judge in Boston, Indira Talwani, has broadened a previous injunction against a Trump executive order restricting mail-in ballots to apply nationwide, citing urgent election concerns. This ruling comes amid ongoing Supreme Court deliberations regarding the order. It blocks the USPS from enforcing specific sections of the order before the November elections.
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The Odds Are Everywhere Now. Are They Any Good?
Political prediction markets, like Kalshi and Polymarket, provide real-time betting odds for elections, raising questions about their accuracy and legality. While they offer a unique insight into voter sentiment, research shows mixed results compared to polls. Market dynamics can skew predictions, influenced by large traders, making these figures just one of several inputs, not definitive…
